https://www.polity.org.za
Deepening Democracy through Access to Information
Home / News / All News RSS ← Back
Africa|Lifting|Services
Africa|Lifting|Services
africa|lifting|services
Close

Email this article

separate emails by commas, maximum limit of 4 addresses

Sponsored by

Close

Article Enquiry

Sub-Saharan Africa growth opportunity at risk without right policy - S&P


Close

Embed Video

Sub-Saharan Africa growth opportunity at risk without right policy - S&P

4th August 2021

By: Reuters

SAVE THIS ARTICLE      EMAIL THIS ARTICLE

Font size: -+

Sub-Saharan Africa's labour force is set to more than double by 2050, boosting economic growth, but a lack of jobs, sound economic policy and investment in education might jeopardise its chance to catch up with developed countries, S&P Global Ratings said on Wednesday.

The region is going to be the world's main driver for working-age population growth in the next the 30 years, making up 68% of total global growth, S&P said in a report.

Advertisement

"Countries in sub-Saharan Africa are undergoing the most significant demographic transition in their history," S&P's senior economist Satyam Panday said.

Sub-Saharan Africa, one of the poorest parts of the world and most vulnerable to famine, pandemics, and extreme weather due to climate change, experienced subdued growth in the last decade.

Advertisement

That might change as sharply declining levels of child birth and increasing life expectancy help accelerate economic growth, closing the gap with richer countries.

Fertility rates - the number of children per woman over her lifetime - dropped to 4.6 in 2019 from 6.3 in 1990. By 2050, it is projected to decrease by a third to around three children per woman, according to the United Nations.

With fewer children to support and more adults working, families can save more, gain better education for their children, spend more on goods and services, and invest in capital markets, lifting the economy.

"To reap these benefits, governments must wisely adapt their economic policies," Panday said.

The divergent experiences of East Asia and Latin America during their periods of demographic transition highlighted the differences the right policies can make.

In East Asia, where countries dramatically improved the quality of education and productivity, average economic growth was 5.1%. By comparison, Latin America saw only a 2.1% average growth.

So far, growth projections for sub-Saharan African countries are more in line with the Latin American path, making the convergence with richer countries a tall order, the report said.

"In case jobs are not created in tandem, demographic dividend can actually become a curse" and a source of instability, as happened during the Arab Spring uprisings of a decade ago when jobless rates reached 30%, Panday said.

EMAIL THIS ARTICLE      SAVE THIS ARTICLE

To subscribe email subscriptions@creamermedia.co.za or click here
To advertise email advertising@creamermedia.co.za or click here

Comment Guidelines

About

Polity.org.za is a product of Creamer Media.
www.creamermedia.co.za

Other Creamer Media Products include:
Engineering News
Mining Weekly
Research Channel Africa

Read more

Subscriptions

We offer a variety of subscriptions to our Magazine, Website, PDF Reports and our photo library.

Subscriptions are available via the Creamer Media Store.

View store

Advertise

Advertising on Polity.org.za is an effective way to build and consolidate a company's profile among clients and prospective clients. Email advertising@creamermedia.co.za

View options

Email Registration Success

Thank you, you have successfully subscribed to one or more of Creamer Media’s email newsletters. You should start receiving the email newsletters in due course.

Our email newsletters may land in your junk or spam folder. To prevent this, kindly add newsletters@creamermedia.co.za to your address book or safe sender list. If you experience any issues with the receipt of our email newsletters, please email subscriptions@creamermedia.co.za