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As Nairobi governor Johnson Sakaja paints rosy picture of his two years in office, we fact-checked claims on revenue, city debt and water supply

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As Nairobi governor Johnson Sakaja paints rosy picture of his two years in office, we fact-checked claims on revenue, city debt and water supply

Africa Check

26th September 2024

By: Africa Check

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On 16 September 2024, Kenyan newspaper the Star published an interview with a “bullish” Nairobi governor, Johnson Sakaja, about his two years in office. 

The interview followed a documentary aired on 1 September on the country's most-watched Citizen TV, which was re-posted on the governor's YouTube, X and Facebook pages. 

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We fact-checked seven claims in the Star article, a number of which were also made in the governor's 2024 state of the county address in April.

Claim: Nairobi collected KSh12.8-billion of revenue in the last financial year.

Verdict: Correct

The Star reported Sakaja as saying he had boosted revenues, collecting Sh12.8-billion in the last fiscal year. 

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The county's financial year generally follows the Kenyan government's fiscal calendar, which runs from 1 July to 30 June of the following year. Nairobi collects revenue from parking fees, business and construction permits, rates and markets, among other sources.

In his April speech, the governor had said the administration was on course to surpass KSh12.2-billion, which he said was the county’s own-source record set in the 2015/16 financial year.

The Star quoted Sakaja citing his “no cash” policy as one of the reasons that revenue leaks had been plugged. 

For data on this claim we turned to the office of the controller of budget, which publishes annual data on county government revenue. 

The most recent is its August 2024 report, which showed that Nairobi’s revenue in the 2023/24 financial year reached KSh12.81-billion (US$98.3-million as at 30 June) in the 2023/24 financial year. This was 64% of the KSh19.9-billion targeted for the year.

Claim: The KSh12.8-billion revenue collected in Nairobi is a historic high.

Verdict: Correct

Is the KSh12.8-billion revenue collection a historic high, as the newspaper reported Sakaja as claiming?

Kenya's 2010 constitution created the country's 47 counties, which became operational in 2013.

For historical data since then, we looked at the office of the controller’s reports from 2013/14, the counties' first full financial year, to 2023/24, the most recent full financial year.

The trend in the data supports this claim.

Claim: Nairobi county has pending bills of KSh107-billion.

Verdict: Incorrect

The Star quoted Sakaja making a notable claim: “I have managed the finances of the city such that by the end of this financial year, I shall sort out the entire Sh107-billion pending bills.” 

The office of the controller of budget also has data on pending bills – money owed to suppliers of goods and services – in each county. The data showed that Sakaja's figure of KSh107-billion was for June 2023. 

Since then, outstanding invoices have increased to KSh118.3-billion as at 30 June 2024. The KSh11-billion increase is equivalent to 86% of Nairobi county's revenue in the last financial year, meaning that the governor would have to use almost all the money collected to pay outstanding bills.

Claim: The northern collector tunnel is set to increase water supply to the city by 40-million litres per day when complete.

Verdict: Incorrect

The county, home to the capital Nairobi, has had a water supply problem for years. The country has been building a new water source for the county, the northern collector tunnel, for years

In his Star interview, Sakaja reportedly said when complete, the tunnel would increase water supply to the city by 40-million litres per day.

But the figure is not 40-million.

The tunnel has a capacity of 140 000 cubic metres of water, or 140-million litres, according to the Athi Water Works Development Agency, the government agency responsible for its construction.

A feasibility study for the project submitted to the World Bank, the project's financier, estimated the daily water supply at 138 240 cubic metres, or 138.2-million litres. 

The governor has said on more than one occasionincluding in his April 2024 address – that the tunnel, when completed, would add 140-million litres to Nairobi’s daily water supply. He was likely misquoted by the Star.

The new source of water is expected to come on stream in October 2024.

Claim: “Nairobi county only had four sources of water when we got into office.”

Verdict: Correct

In his address to the county in April, Sakaja said that when he took office in August 2022, the Kenyan capital had only four sources of water. 

For historical context, Africa Check turned to Dr Mutono Nyamai, a data scientist at the University of Nairobi who has studied water distribution in Nairobi. 

She said that the city got its water from four sources, according to Nairobi Water, the capital’s water utility. The first, Kikuyu Springs, was commissioned in 1901 and was the main source of safe drinking water from 1901 to 1950. 

In 1950, the city added Ruiru dam, in 1956, the Sasumua dam and in 1994, the Thika dam.

Nairobi has been working to develop more water sources as part of the country’s 2030 water master plan. But Mutono said the city had yet to commission another water source.

Claim: The demand for water is 870-million litres of water a day.

Verdict: Mostly Correct

There are several water demand projections for Nairobi. 

Sakaja's figure is within the predictions.

But why are there different figures? 

The water demand for Nairobi “is not easy to calculate”, Dr Mutono Nyamai told Africa Check. A data scientist at the University of Nairobi, she has studied water distribution in Nairobi.

One of her studies was published in the Habitat International journal in January 2022. It revealed inequalities caused by the prioritisation of high- and middle-income areas in housing and infrastructure development, and the inadequate provision of piped water services in emerging poor neighbourhoods.

“Over the 10-year period when we conducted our study, people in informal settlements consumed 827 litres per person per month whereas in low/middle-income areas consumed 1 697 litres per month,” she said in an email. 

“On the other hand, the high and middle-income areas consumed 13 087 litres and 6 240 litres per month, respectively.”

Claim: “The office of the governor of Nairobi was awarded the first International Finance Corporation World Bank edge certification to be the first green government building in Africa.”

Verdict: Correct

The governor received the “Edge” certificate in a widely publicised event in February 2024.

“Edge” stands for “Excellence in Design for Greater Efficiencies”. It is a free tool, a green building standard and certification system created by the International Finance Corporation (IFC), part of the World Bank

It helps design and certify buildings that use less water and energy and rely on renewable energy. Its developers say Edge also makes it easier to attract investment.

Africa Check contacted Dennis Quansah, then the programme lead for Kenya, Nigeria and Ghana for the IFC’s Edge green building team.

“Yes, the office of the governor of Nairobi is the first to achieve an Edge certificate for a government building in Africa,” Quansah told us in an email in April 2024, when the governor made the claim. (Note: Quansah died in August 2024).

Researched by Tess Wandia

This report was written by Africa Check., a non-partisan fact-checking organisation. View the original piece on their website.

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